Growth with Intention: Key Takeaways from the 2026 NIC Growth Conference 

Growth is no longer a future ambition for senior housing operators. It is a present-day imperative. But in a market shaped by rising demand, constrained supply, evolving consumer expectations, and more selective capital, growth for growth’s sake is not enough. The operators best positioned for what comes next are those scaling with intention: strengthening their teams, protecting their culture, sharpening their story, investing in systems, and building the right partnerships before opportunity outpaces readiness. 

That is where the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care (NIC) plays a critical role. On May 13–14, NIC hosted its annual Growth Conference, bringing more than 300 senior housing and care leaders to Indianapolis for two days focused on scaling with discipline and intention. Purpose-built for small to mid-size operators, capital providers, and strategic partners, the conference offered practical strategies, firsthand lessons from experienced leaders, and high-value connections to help organizations prepare for their next stage of growth. 

The conference brought together operators looking for practical growth strategies, capital providers seeking strong operating partners, vendors and strategic partners supporting the sector’s evolution, and experienced leaders willing to share what has worked, what has not, and what they would do differently. 

As Sevy Petras, Co-Founder and CEO of Priority Life Care, and Growth Conference Program Committee Co-Chair noted in opening remarks, “What operators need right now isn’t more theory, it’s what’s actually working.” 

That idea carried through every session. 

Growth Requires Discipline, Not Just Opportunity 

Larry Cohen, CEO, Trustwell Living

“You need to be disciplined to effectively grow and not let it impact what exists today,” said speaker Larry Cohen, CEO of Trustwell Living. He and many other speakers emphasized that growth is not simply about adding communities, but knowing why, where, and how to grow, and being disciplined enough to say no when an opportunity does not fit. 

This was a central topic in the session Navigating Opportunity: When to Pursue, Pause, or Pass, which included Cohen. He and fellow panelists reinforced the importance of knowing what your organization does well and staying focused on opportunities that align with that strength. Growth can be exciting, but the wrong deal, market, or partner can distract from the existing business and put performance at risk. 

The takeaway: good growth starts with a clear plan, a strong sense of identity, and the discipline to protect the business you already have. 

Quintin King, President, Brightwater Senior Living

In The Evolution of Organizational Structure for Growing Companies, speakers discussed how growth often requires operators to adapt their structure before the next opportunity arrives. That may mean investing earlier in corporate support, human resources, communications, technology, clinical oversight, or strategic partnerships. The message was clear: operators that want to grow sustainably need to build the foundation before growth strains the system. As speaker Quintin King, President of Brightwater Senior Living, stated, “I’m investing today for what I know I have to do tomorrow.” 

Culture Can Be a Growth Strategy 

Several sessions emphasized the importance of culture as a defining factor in whether an organization can scale successfully. 

In Will Your Identity Shape Your Growth or Become a Casualty of It?, operators discussed how culture needs to be defined, nurtured, and adapted as an organization grows. Culture cannot live only with a founder or a small group of long-tenured leaders. As companies add communities, enter new markets, or integrate acquisitions, culture must be translated into hiring practices, leadership development, communication standards, values, and everyday behaviors. 

Quintin King, Brenda Connelly, Tom Grape, Anthony Wilson

“There is a direct correlation between culture and performance,” emphasized Brenda Connelly, President of The Springs Living. Fellow speaker Tom Grape, Founder, Chairman and CEO of Benchmark Senior Living, shared a similar perspective, noting that the goal should be to “grow to get better, not bigger.” 

That distinction captured one of the conference’s strongest messages: growth should strengthen the organization, not dilute what made it successful in the first place. 

Capital Partners Are Looking for Clarity, Performance, and Trust 

Operators seeking the secrets to what capital looks for in a strong partner learned that while a growth strategy matters, it must be backed by numbers, systems, leadership, and a realistic plan. 

In Capital Across the Life Cycle: Practical Financing Strategies for Growing Operators

speakers detailed how strong operators need to demonstrate a command of their numbers, the ability to explain performance at the community level, and the bench strength to scale without overextending the organization. “If the leadership isn’t set up well, it may not scale well or rebound off poor performance,” noted Garret Sacco, Managing Director at Berkadia.  

Dave Boitano, Courtney Nickels, Garrett Sacco

Panelists also emphasized that capital partners want operators to succeed. They are not only evaluating financial performance, but also leadership, culture, communication, transparency, and whether the operator can make the transition from entrepreneurial to more institutional without losing what makes the company strong. 

“Your capital wants you to win,” explained Dave Boitano, Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer for LTC Properties. “We are all on the same team and we want to be a resource.” He added that it’s an industry that rewards creativity and a vision that both sides can get behind. “Don’t grow a business that you grow to hate. Grow the business that you want to have.” 

Technology and Data Are Now Growth Requirements 

As today’s residents and families grow more comfortable using technology in daily life,  integrating tech into your systems and business is a necessity. In Technology & Data: From Nice-to-Have to Growth Prerequisite, speakers discussed how technology decisions can either support or slow growth. Operators were encouraged to choose systems that fit where they are today while also preparing for where they are going. 

Lauren Wilson, Adam Benton, Summer Blizzard, Mark Mountel

The session highlighted the importance of clear ownership when implementing new technology, thoughtful pilot programs that include a realistic mix of communities, and practical data strategies that put the right information in front of the right people at the right time. Speakers also discussed the growing role of AI, not as a replacement for leadership or judgment, but as a tool that can help operators think differently, improve efficiency, and identify new solutions. 

The broader takeaway was simple: as operators grow, technology and data can no longer be treated as side projects. They are core infrastructure. 

Transitions, Partnerships, and Risk Management Matter More as You Scale 

Growth often brings complexity, and several sessions explored the operational realities that come with expansion. 

Cameron Bell, Beverly Janco Tuttle, Doug Schiffer, Larry Rouvelas

In Management Transitions & Integration, panelists focused on the people side of transitions. Residents, families, and team members need communication, consistency, and reassurance. “Families and residents want to know there will be consistency,” explained Doug Schiffer, President & CEO of Allegro Living. “They want to know they’ll have the same caregivers they are used to. It’s key that the transition does not create waves for the residents and families.” He noted that the local team must become an advocate for the transition, and leaders need to be transparent about what will change and what will remain steady. 

In Advancing Growth Through Strategic Partnership Models, speakers explored how partnerships between for-profit and not-for-profit organizations can help organizations grow when traditional development is slow, capital is constrained, or expertise is needed. The strongest partnerships require alignment, clarity, and a shared understanding of each party’s strengths. 

In Avoiding Hidden Risks in Resident and Staff Contracts, speakers reminded attendees that growth across markets also brings new legal, regulatory, employment, and contract considerations. Due diligence, vendor relationships, and outside expertise become increasingly important as organizations expand into new states or take on new operating structures. 

Strong Brands Start with Authentic Differentiation 

The session Utilizing Your Own Secret Weapon challenged operators to better understand and communicate what truly makes their communities different. 

Speakers encouraged attendees to look beyond generic language like “vibrant,” “welcoming,” or “caring,” and instead identify the real stories, experiences, people, and operational strengths that set a community apart. The discussion connected marketing directly to operations: what a community says about itself must match what prospects, residents, families, and team members actually experience. 

Lisa McCracken, Amy Elliott

For smaller and mid-size operators, this can be a meaningful advantage. Their size, local presence, leadership access, team longevity, or unique culture may be exactly what makes them stand out. 

Learning from Mistakes May Be the Most Valuable Growth Tool 

The closing session, Growing Pains: The Mistakes We Made and the Lessons We Learned, brought the conference full circle. Speakers shared lessons from real growth journeys, including the importance of choosing the right partners, hiring people who understand and protect the culture, staying close to the consumer, and ensuring that mission and margin reinforce each other. “Choose partners that will be standing next to you when times are good and when times are bad,” reinforced Sue Farrow, Founder (Retired) of Integral Senior Living/Solstice Senior Living. 

The discussion reinforced why the Growth Conference exists: to give operators and partners a space to learn from leaders who have been through the challenges of growth and are willing to share the lessons that can help others move forward more thoughtfully. 

Looking Ahead 

The 2026 NIC Growth Conference made one thing clear: the senior housing sector is entering a period where growth is both necessary and complex. Demand is rising, capital is engaged, and operators are looking for the right path forward. But successful growth will require more than ambition. It will require discipline, culture, data, capital alignment, operational readiness, and trusted relationships. 

For leaders ready to continue these conversations, NIC will bring the industry together again this October in Chicago for the 2026 NIC Fall Conference. Join senior housing and care leaders, capital providers, operators, developers, and strategic partners for the connections, insights, and conversations shaping what comes next. 

Senior Housing First Quarter Investment Performance Was Strongest in Nearly a Decade

Senior housing investment performance in the first quarter of 2026 continued to gain speed, posting a total return of 3.9%, the property type’s highest total return since the fourth quarter of 2017. Overall, senior housing during the quarter outperformed the broader NCREIF Property Index’s (NPI) total return of 1.2% by 267 basis points, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of index outperformance.

Breaking out return contribution, senior housing capital appreciation in the first quarter was 2.5%. The capital appreciation return is the change in value net of any capital expenditures incurred during the quarter. Senior housing income return in the first quarter was also positive, yielding 1.4%. Both appreciation and income posted their highest quarterly gains since 2017.

Over the one-year period, senior housing strongly outperformed all NCREIF Property Type Subindexes, posting the only double-digit total return at 12.8%, which was 2.5 times the NPI’s total return of 4.9% and well ahead of the second highest return of 7.8% for self-storage properties. Over the longer run, senior housing has outperformed the NPI over the three-, five-, 10-, 15-, and 20-year periods.

These performance measures reflect the returns of 219 senior housing properties valued at $14.0 billion in the first quarter. Overall, the number of senior housing properties tracked within the NPI has grown significantly from the 56 properties initially tracked in 2003, a reflection of increased institutional investment in the property type.

In the first quarter and over the one-year period, assisted living and independent living posted comparable returns, a reversal of recent trends in which independent living outperformed assisted living over the three- and five-year periods.

The broader market fundamentals remain favorable, with occupancy rates climbing as demand for senior housing continues to accelerate and development remains stalled. Senior housing occupancy for the 31 Primary Markets tracked by NIC MAP gained 0.4 percentage points to 89.5% in the first quarter of 2026. This was the 19th consecutive quarter of increasing occupancy rates. At the current pace of development and demand, senior housing occupancy is on track to surpass 90% occupancy well before the end of the year, further tightening availability across many markets.

TOTAL RETURN

NCREIF Property Index (NPI) Senior Housing Assisted Living Independent Living
1Q 20261.233.903.743.79
YTD1.233.903.743.79
One Year4.9412.7712.5612.29
Three Years0.164.913.306.33
Five Years3.814.032.845.08
Ten Years4.845.795.19N/A
Fifteen Years7.198.37N/AN/A
Twenty Years6.278.44N/AN/A

INCOME

NCREIF Property Index (NPI) Senior Housing Assisted Living Independent Living
1Q 20261.151.431.521.33
YTD1.151.431.521.33
One Year4.735.665.935.33
Three Years4.665.004.825.18
Five Years4.434.374.034.76
Ten Years4.494.804.62N/A
Fifteen Years4.845.40N/AN/A
Twenty Years5.135.83N/AN/A

APPRECIATION

NCREIF Property Index (NPI) Senior Housing Assisted Living Independent Living
1Q 20260.082.472.212.46
YTD0.082.472.212.46
One Year0.206.836.356.69
Three Years-4.34-0.08-1.461.11
Five Years-0.60-0.32-1.150.32
Ten Years0.330.970.56N/A
Fifteen Years2.272.86N/AN/A
Twenty Years1.092.51N/AN/A

Source: NCREIF, 1Q 2026, Unlevered Annualized Total Returns

Senior Housing Occupancy Climbs to 89.5% as Record Demand Meets Record-Low New Supply in First Quarter 2026

Senior housing occupancy increased 0.4 percentage points in the first quarter, with the number of occupied senior housing units once again reaching record levels. Year-over-year inventory growth continued to decline, hitting new record lows while average annual asking rent growth accelerated for both independent living and assisted living. These and other findings on first quarter 2026 senior housing data trends were presented by NIC’s Research & Analytics team during a recent webinar with NIC MAP clients. Additionally, Arick Morton, CEO at NIC MAP, presented details on the expanded number of markets in NIC MAP’s coverage, increasing from 140 markets historically to 214 beginning in 2026.

Key takeaways from first quarter 2026 data included the following: 

Takeaway #1: Senior Housing Occupancy Rate Approaching 90%

  • The senior housing occupancy rate increased 0.4 percentage points in the first quarter for the 31 NIC MAP Primary Markets to reach 89.5%, driven by positive net absorption outpacing a low number of new units arriving online.
  • At the current pace, occupancy rates remain on track to surpass 90% before the end of 2026.
  • The NIC MAP Secondary Markets have already surpassed the 90% threshold after increasing 0.3 percentage points to reach 90.2% in the first quarter.

Takeaway #2: Independent Living Exceeds 91% Occupancy

  • Breaking out occupancies by property type, both independent living and assisted living occupancy rates for the 31 Primary Markets rose 0.4 percentage points in the first quarter.
  • Independent living surpassed 91% occupancy for the first time since 2016 in both the Primary and Secondary Markets.
  • Overall, solid gains for both property types illustrate the choice-driven demand from the younger or healthier older adults moving into independent living, as well as the need-driven demand from those seeking assisted living services and care.

Takeaway #3: Ten Markets Above 90% Occupied

  • Ten of the primary markets had occupancy rates above 90% in the first quarter, up from seven markets in the fourth quarter of 2025 and five markets in the third quarter of 2025.
  • There are several markets where occupancy rates today are near or even slightly above their all-time highs, such as San Francisco (91.6%), Los Angeles (90.3%), Dallas (88.3%), and Chicago (89.9%).

Takeaway #4: Inventory Growth Hit New Record Low

  • Turning to inventory growth, a continued decline in new supply arriving online in the 31 NIC MAP Primary Markets has helped drive occupancy rates higher.
  • By property type, year-over-year inventory growth hit a new record low, increasing by only 0.4% and 0.3% for assisted living and independent living, respectively.

Takeaway #5: Senior Housing Construction Pipeline Continued to Shrink

  • Drilling down into construction activity, despite increasing occupancy rates, the development response remains notably slow.
  • Total units under construction fell to roughly 16,400 in the first quarter, levels last seen in 2012.
  • On a percentage basis, construction underway totals only 2.3% of existing senior housing inventory, among the lowest levels in the time series.
  • This shrinking construction pipeline indicates that the pace of new supply is unlikely to accelerate in the near term.

Active Adult Occupancy Rates Softened in 1Q 2026

In April NIC MAP released first quarter data for the 875 active adult rental communities they track across the U.S. These communities cater to mostly healthy adults age 55+ who want to live in a community designed for active lifestyles and interaction with peers and who do not yet need or want on-site healthcare services.

Key takeaways from the first quarter data included the following: 

Takeaway #1: Active Adult Occupancy Rates Softened in 1Q

  • In 2025, roughly 6,800 new units opened, a decline from the 8,500 new units delivered in 2024. In the first quarter of this year, less than 500 new units came onto the market.
  • Although new supply was lower in 2025 than in 2024, this new inventory, along with increased economic uncertainty and a stalled single-family housing market, may have had a moderate impact on active adult occupancy rates.
  • The active adult occupancy rate stood at 91.2% in the first quarter, falling 0.7 percentage points from the prior quarter.
  • For stabilized properties open at least two years, occupancy rates also declined 0.7 percentage points to 94.0%.

Takeaway #2: Eight of 15 Largest Inventory Markets Exceed National Occupancy Rate

  • Below are the largest 15 Primary & Secondary Markets by Active Adult Inventory and ranked by stabilized occupancy.
  • The U.S. average occupancy rate of 91.2% is shown in the dotted line.
  • Eight of the 15 largest markets have occupancy rates above 91.2%, with Minneapolis at the national average.
  • Anecdotally, the bottom markets in this chart – Austin and Phoenix – in the past few years have had a lot of new units arrive online – both active adult and conventional multifamily – and, as a result, may be seeing signs of slower lease up and lower rent growth.

Takeaway #3: Median Average Monthly Rent Below $2,000

  • For the 15 largest active adult markets, the bar chart below shows median rents in each metro area, while the dotted line shows the national median at $1,945 per month.
  • Most of these 15 markets are at or below this $2,000 threshold, although New York and Chicago approach $3,000.

Focus Area Committees Drive Strategic Progress

In the Fall of 2022, the NIC Board of Directors adopted a Strategic Plan with a core objective to “expand the tent” into five Focus Areas over the following five years. Now well into that journey, Active Adult, AgeTech, Capital for Operations, Middle Market, and Partnering for Health have proven increasingly vital to the senior housing industry, shaping how we understand and respond to the needs of our customers, operations, and capital structure.

In 2024, Focus Area Committees (FACs) were established to help advance this strategic priority. The FACs have played a meaningful role in shaping NIC’s work. In 2024, the committees provided specific recommendations on conference sessions, research initiatives, and NIC Academy offerings — helping to embed the Focus Areas into NIC’s core programming. In 2025, the FACs shifted toward strategic advice, working to educate NIC staff and leadership while helping to develop tailored engagement plans for each new target audience. Now in 2026, their work continues with the FACs refining engagement plans and developing additional resources needed to bring new stakeholders into the senior housing and care ecosystem.

The results of this progression are already visible. NIC has made significant strides incorporating the Focus Areas across conferences, case studies, white papers, webinars, and educational offerings — all shaped by FAC guidance.

Building on that foundation, the FACs are now focused on driving the next wave of resources and engagement opportunities in 2026.

Animated GIF

The FACs gathered in Annapolis, MD on April 27–28 for their 2026 working session. NIC hosted a historic walking tour, reception, and dinner on April 27, followed by a full day of committee meetings on April 28. Members participated in a general session and individual committee breakouts before coming together to share report-outs from each committee. NIC also presented metrics highlighting how each Focus Area is being implemented across NIC resources — including dedicated landing pages on the NIC website — as well as the growing number of new companies engaging with the senior housing and care industry through each Focus Area. The FACs are now working through the outcomes of those discussions to finalize their priorities for the remainder of 2026.

NIC extends its sincere thanks to all FAC volunteers for their insight, expertise, and dedication as we work together to fulfill the strategic vision of “expanding the tent” across each of the Focus Areas.